Top Markets
Precipitation in NYC in June?
2-3"—
<2"—
5-6"—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
500mm+—
350-375mm—
<350mm—
+5 more8 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Jack Thorne—
Vesselin Dimitrov—
Sam Raskin—
+8 more11 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?
1460+—
1480+—
1440+—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Z.ai—
no company—
Anthropic—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 2026—
December 31, 2027—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
1575—
1600—
1550—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?
1550—
1570—
1560—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
11-12—
>16—
5-6—
+5 more8 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?
June 30—
September 30—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
1—
5+—
4—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by June 30?
1510—
1520—
1530—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
6 or lower—
2—
4—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
WhiteHawk Minerals IPO Closing Market Cap
$675M–$750M—
$825M–$900M—
$900M+—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
EA Sports FC27: Cover Athlete
Bruno Fernandes—
Ousmane Dembele—
Michael Olise—
+20 more23 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
3rd hottest—
2nd hottest—
4th or lower—
+1 more4 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Which company has the third best AI model end of June?
Amazon—
Meituan—
Mistral—
+12 more15 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
New pandemic in 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?
250–279—
160–189—
280–310—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
GPT-5.6 released by...?
June 15—
June 8—
June 5—
+2 more5 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Which company has the #2 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
ByteDance—
Microsoft—
Moonshot—
+12 more15 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Precipitation in Seattle in June?
1-1.5"—
1.5-2"—
>3"—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
How many Tornadoes in the US in May?
230–259—
320–349—
380–410—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
1580—
1600—
1560—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Which company has the #3 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Meta—
Moonshot—
OpenAI—
+12 more15 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2nd hottest—
1st hottest—
4th or lower—
+1 more4 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Kimi K3 released by…?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
20+—
8–10—
11–13—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?
2200—
2300—
2400—
+1 more4 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above __ ?
$11.5B—
$10.5B—
$12.0B—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 22–June 28—
June 8–June 14—
Not released by June 28—
+1 more4 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC—
>1.29ºC—
1.20–1.24ºC—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
GPU rental prices (H200) end of June?
$5.00-$6.00—
$4.00-$5.00—
$6.00-$7.00—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC—
>1.29ºC—
1.20–1.24ºC—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE