Top Markets
Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
Democrats, 11+ pts—
Democrats, 14+ pts—
Democrats, 17+ pts—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Deportations in 2026?
Above 200,000—
Above 300,000—
Above 400,000—
+2 more5 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
Cut 25bps—
Cut >25bps—
Fed maintains rate—
+2 more5 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Maine-Texas Senate Combo
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins—
Ken Paxton and Graham Platner—
James Talarico and Susan Collins—
+1 more4 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Kosovan parliamentary election winner
AAK—
LDK—
LVV—
+1 more4 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Colombian presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)
Abelardo de la Espriella—
Iván Cepeda Castro—
Paloma Valencia—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
Before Aug 1, 2026—
Before Dec 1, 2026—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
+8 more11 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?
Before Aug 1, 2026—
Before Dec 1, 2026—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
+9 more12 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory
Democrats, 2+ pts—
Democrats, 5+ pts—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent
Below 20%—
20% - 25%—
25% - 30%—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
US tariff revenue for 2026
Above $100 billion—
Above $125 billion—
Above $150 billion—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
PA-03 Democratic primary: Ala Stanford vote percent
10% - 15%—
15% - 20%—
20% - 25%—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
Before Aug 1, 2026—
Before Dec 1, 2026—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
+9 more12 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Georgia Republican Senate primary: 2nd place (1st round)
Buddy Carter—
Derek Dooley—
Mike Collins—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
2026 Grammy nominations for Song of the Year?
Aperture—
Choosin' Texas—
The Fate of Ophelia—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Arizona's 4th District margin of victory
Democrats, 10+ pts—
Democrats, 13+ pts—
Democrats, 16+ pts—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?
Before Aug 1, 2026—
Before Dec 1, 2026—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
+9 more12 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Kentucky Republican Senate primary: Andy Barr vote percent
Below 40%—
40% - 45%—
45% - 50%—
+7 more10 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
Before Aug 1, 2026—
Before Dec 1, 2026—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
+9 more12 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
before December—
before November—
before October—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Arkansas Governor margin of victory
Republicans, 10+ pts—
Republicans, 13+ pts—
Republicans, 16+ pts—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?
Colin Allred, 10-15%—
Colin Allred, 15-20%—
Colin Allred, 0-5%—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
California Governor matchup?
Chad Bianco and Matt Mahan—
Eric Swalwell and Chad Bianco—
Eric Swalwell and Katie Porter—
+17 more20 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Fed decision in Sep 2027?
Cut 25bps—
Cut >25bps—
Fed maintains rate—
+2 more5 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
Republicans, 45+ pts—
Republicans, 48+ pts—
Republicans, 51+ pts—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
2026 Grammy nominations for Best New Artist?
Absolutely—
Amber Mark—
Annahstasia—
+61 more64 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas in 2026? (Blexas)
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Los Angeles mayoral election: Karen Bass vote percent (1st round)
15% - 20%—
20% - 25%—
25% - 30%—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Los Angeles mayor matchup
Adam Miller and Rae Huang—
Karen Bass and Adam Miller—
Karen Bass and Rae Huang—
+7 more10 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will Stripe officially announce an IPO?
Before Aug 1, 2026—
Before Dec 1, 2026—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
+9 more12 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
Republicans, 33+ pts—
Republicans, 36+ pts—
Republicans, 39+ pts—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
NY-12 Democratic primary: 2nd place
Alex Bores—
George Conway—
Jack Schlossberg—
+1 more4 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Mike Collins vote percent
Below 25%—
25% - 30%—
30% - 35%—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will Discord officially announce an IPO?
Before Aug 1, 2026—
Before Dec 1, 2026—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
+9 more12 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Who will win the next Mongolian presidential election?
Dashzegviin Amarbayasgalan—
Gombojavyn Zandanshatar—
Khaltmaagiin Battulga—
+2 more5 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Georgia Republican Governor primary: Rick Jackson vote percent
Below 25%—
25% - 30%—
30% - 35%—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
California governor primary margin of victory?
Steve Hilton, 0-2%—
Steve Hilton, 2-4%—
Steve Hilton, 4-6%—
+15 more18 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will anyone win the Colombian presidential election in the first round?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?
Dan Bilzerian, 0-5%—
Dan Bilzerian, ≥10%—
Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%—
+7 more10 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
GA-10 Republican primary: margin of victory
Houston Gaines, 10-15%—
Houston Gaines, 15-20%—
Houston Gaines, 0-5%—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
California governor primary: 2nd place
Alex Padilla—
Antonio Villaraigosa—
Butch Ware—
+8 more11 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place
Abdul El-Sayed—
Haley Stevens—
Mallory McMorrow—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Los Angeles mayoral election: 2nd place (1st round)
Adam Miller—
Karen Bass—
Nithya Raman—
+2 more5 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
Democrats, 21+ pts—
Democrats, 24+ pts—
Democrats, 27+ pts—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
Republicans, 27+ pts—
Republicans, 30+ pts—
Republicans, 33+ pts—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?
Before Jun 1, 2026—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
Before Nov 3, 2026—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Government spending increase in 2026
At least $1 trillion—
At least $100 billion—
At least $1 billion—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many government shutdowns in 2026?
2—
3—
4—
+1 more4 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will Glean officially announce an IPO?
Before Aug 1, 2026—
Before Dec 1, 2026—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
+9 more12 MARKETS × 1 VENUE