Top Markets
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Pope Leo XIV—
Keir Starmer—
Mohammed bin Salman—
+13 more16 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026—
June 30, 2026—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
May 31—
September 30—
June 30—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
United States—
Austria—
Japan—
+7 more10 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Argentina—
Taiwan—
India—
+14 more17 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31—
June 30—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Azerbaijan—
Saudi Arabia—
Jordan—
+9 more12 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
Saudi Arabia—
No meeting before 2027—
China—
+11 more14 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
June 30—
December 31—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.5%—
1.0%—
2.0%—
+5 more8 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
North Korea—
Ireland—
South Korea—
+19 more22 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
China coup attempt before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Lockheed Martin—
OpenAI—
Anduril—
+15 more18 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
None by June 30, 2027—
Comcast—
Netflix—
+1 more4 MARKETS × 1 VENUE



















