Top Markets
Jacob Frey out as Mayor of Minneapolis?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
When will a Trump passport be issued?
Before Aug 1, 2026—
Before Jan 1, 2027—
Before Jul 4, 2026—
+2 more5 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
Before Jul 1, 2026—
Before Jun 3, 2026—
Before Jun 6, 2026—
+1 more4 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many people will Donald Trump pardon in May 2026?
0—
1—
10 to 14—
+5 more8 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many Truths will Trump delete in May 2026?
At least 15—
At least 20—
At least 25—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Trump release more Epstein files in May 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
How many bills will President Trump sign in May 2026?
10 or above—
3—
4—
+5 more8 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/25-5/31)
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 218—
Above 230—
Above 250—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Number of White House Press Briefings in May 2026?
At least 3—
At least 4—
At least 5—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Major news story in May 2026?
At least 1—
At least 10—
At least 2—
+2 more5 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)
Above 10—
Above 100—
Above 15—
+7 more10 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
Before Jan 1, 2028—
Before Jan 1, 2029—
Before Jan 1, 2030—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Trump's approval rating on Jun 5, 2026?
Below 39.0—
39.0 to 39.2—
39.3 to 39.5—
+5 more8 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (5/17 - 5/23)
Above 2—
Above 3—
Above 4—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?
Before Aug 1, 2026—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (5/31-6/6)
At least 10—
At least 15—
At least 20—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Trump late night post this week? (5/31-6/6)
1-2 AM—
2-3 AM—
3-4 AM—
+2 more5 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/1-6/7)
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will mail-order mifepristone access be restricted nationwide?
Before 2027—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Confirmed Hondius hantavirus cases before June 2026?
10 or more—
11 or more—
12 or more—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Trump do anything this week? (5/31-6/6)
At least 1—
At least 10—
At least 15—
+5 more8 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026—
Before Jun 15, 2026—
Before Jul 1, 2026—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will any NATO member state boycott the USA World Cup in 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will the travel ban end for any countries participating in the World Cup?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?
Christopher Waller—
Jerome Powell—
Judy Shelton—
+5 more8 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (5/24 - 5/30)
Above 0—
Above 1—
Above 2—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Who will attend UFC Freedom 250?
Adin Ross—
Adam Sandler—
Benjamin Netanyahu—
+21 more24 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (5/31 - 6/6)
Above 0—
Above 1—
Above 2—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Trump attend a Pro Basketball finals game?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?
Between 10% and 19.99%—
Between 20% and 29.99%—
Above 60%—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many people will Trump pardon in June 2026?
exactly 0 people—
exactly 1 people—
above 249 people—
+5 more8 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?
David Lammy—
Ed Miliband—
Jonathan Reynolds—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Who will join the Trump administration before July?
Eric Adams—
Elon Musk—
Glenn Youngkin—
+10 more13 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many federal agencies will Trump cut?
More than 10—
More than 100—
More than 20—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Who will leave Congress before July?
Cory Mills—
Henry Cuellar—
Mike Collins—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?
Brazil—
Global—
Mexico—
3 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?
Between 10% and 19.99%—
Between 20% and 29.99%—
Above 60%—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?
Between 10% and 19.99%—
Between 20% and 29.99%—
Above 60%—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Who will visit Iran before July?
Any U.S. House member—
Any U.S. Senator—
Benjamin Netanyahu—
+5 more8 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?
Between 10% and 19.99%—
Between 20% and 29.99%—
Above 60%—
+4 more7 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
How many justices will vote for Trump in the FTC removal case?
0—
1—
2—
+7 more10 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?
Brett Matsumoto—
Casey Means—
David MacNeil—
+3 more6 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 330?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots after Election Day?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will the Supreme Court shield Monsanto from Roundup failure-to-warn lawsuits?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Before Aug 1, 2026—
Before Jan 1, 2027—
Before Dec 1, 2026—
+6 more9 MARKETS × 1 VENUE



















