Top Markets
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Pope Leo XIV—
Keir Starmer—
Mohammed bin Salman—
+13 more16 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026—
June 30, 2026—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
United States—
Austria—
Japan—
+7 more10 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Argentina—
Taiwan—
India—
+14 more17 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31—
June 30—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Azerbaijan—
Saudi Arabia—
Jordan—
+9 more12 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
Saudi Arabia—
No meeting before 2027—
China—
+11 more14 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
June 30—
December 31—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
10—
15+—
11—
+5 more8 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
North Korea—
Ireland—
South Korea—
+19 more22 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
China coup attempt before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
US x Russia military clash by...?
December 31, 2026—
June 30, 2026—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
June 30—
December 31—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Israel military action against Damascus by...?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30—
December 31—
2 MARKETS × 1 VENUE
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Yes—
No—
1 MARKET × 1 VENUE